Video: Countdown to space tourism
THERE’s a construction boom in the desert south of Truth or Consequences, New Mexico (population roughly 7000). Concrete is being poured, boundaries are being staked and every now and then trailers arrive, briefly forming the nuclei of small, impromptu camps. It doesn’t look like much now, but in a few years the skies above this spot will ignite as those with both wealth and a sense of adventure realise a lifelong dream. This is where Richard Branson’s fledgling company, Virgin Galactic, will blast paying passengers into sub-orbital space. This is Spaceport America.
Dreams don’t come cheap, however. State officials have agreed to cough up a cool $100 million toward the project’s $250 million construction cost, while a big chunk of the balance will be borne by Branson. And in April, New Mexico voters agreed to use a proportion of their sales-tax dollars as extra funding for Spaceport America’s construction. With the funding secured, Spaceport America is set to open in 2009 or 2010.
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Behind this public investment are hopes for a strong economic return. By its fifth year, Spaceport America could employ 2300 people on a payroll of about $300 million, according to a recent by New Mexico State University. Those are the kind of numbers that sway lawmakers and voters alike.
A decade ago, the prospect of spending serious cash on a commercial spaceport would have been laughable. What’s remarkable now is that Spaceport America is one of many popping up around the world. According to the Federal Aviation Administration in the US, the nation has seven “non-federal” spaceports in operation – facilities not run by the military or NASA. At least another nine, including Spaceport America, are being planned there, while others are springing up in Europe, Canada, Australia and elsewhere.
The spaceport boom is a highly visible sign of how quickly the commercial space sector is growing, though the term “commercial space” is a loaded one – companies like Boeing and Lockheed Martin have space-age roots going as far back as NASA’s. To distinguish themselves from such military-industrial giants, whose space-related income has always mostly come from governments, the new wave of commercial space pioneers refer to their industry as entrepreneurial space, “alt.space” or even “NewSpace”.
Whatever you call it, a new space age has begun. Much of the technology is the same as it was in the old one, however. Despite nearly two decades of presentations heralding the imminent arrival of self-propelled spaceplanes, everyone is still using chemical-powered rockets to reach orbit. Even Virgin Galactic’s upcoming space-tourist vehicles are more an inspired reworking of existing rocket technology than anything revolutionary.
So if it isn’t technology, what is this boom all about? The answer is a heady brew of bravado, bare-bones innovation and the vague promise of vast riches. Crucially, space entrepreneurs believe that they – not NASA or the aerospace giants – represent the true future of activity in space. Innovation, they say, is a cure for the malaise of state-funded space programmes mired in space-race nostalgia or militaristic one-upmanship. Now they’re hoping to prove themselves by opening the heavens to private enterprise.
There has been an entrepreneurial space sector since the late 1970s, but for years it had little traction. Early space entrepreneurs were often science fiction enthusiasts with bags of passion but minimal engineering credentials. Today’s entrepreneurs share that passion, but are backing it up with something just as critical: mountains of cash.
“The rich guys building their own rocket companies are the primary change,” says Gary Hudson, a veteran space entrepreneur who now heads AirLaunch, a company based in Kirkland, Washington, that designs and builds small experimental rockets. He estimates that as much as $500 million in private funding is now in play through various alt.space companies, much of it from entrepreneurs like Branson, Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen, Amazon.com’s Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk, who made his fortune from PayPal, the internet payment system.
Even half a billion dollars pales in comparison with the $16 billion NASA is playing with this year, but the investment is clearly working. After decades of slow struggle, the alt.space triumphs are suddenly coming thick and fast. Hudson and other entrepreneurs credit the sector’s change in fortune to legendary spacecraft designer Burt Rutan and his spaceplane SpaceShipOne, which scooped the $10 million Ansari X prize in 2004 by completing a historic double flight into sub-orbital space. Crucially, SpaceShipOne achieved this on a modest budget of about $25 million. “Burt’s X prize victory was huge,” Hudson says.
More innovations followed. In July 2006, Bigelow Aerospace launched Genesis 1, a crewless prototype for a space station and the first private habitable spacecraft in orbit. Its remarkable inflatable design is based on technology from a mothballed NASA project called TransHab. In June this year, Bigelow sent the more complex Genesis 2 into orbit with a cargo of items sent up by the paying public.
A few months later, Bezos’s company Blue Origin demonstrated its Buck Rogers-style rocket, Goddard. The remote-controlled, dome-shaped craft took off and rose nearly 100 metres before touching down on its four legs, upright all the while.
Two other US-based rocket companies, Rocketplane Kistler and Musk’s SpaceX, could begin testing new orbital vehicles as early as next year. And let’s not forget Rutan’s follow-up craft, SpaceShipTwo, still cloaked in secrecy. It is scheduled to begin flying the first Virgin Galactic passengers as early as the end of 2009 from a spaceport in the Mojave desert, California, though a fatal explosion there in July will probably delay the schedule.
The robustness of the rookie space sector is revealed by its growing ability to operate independently of the established military-industrial players. Early alt.space ventures have invariably relied on government funding, expertise or launch facilities, but won’t for much longer. Although Bigelow space stations are currently lofted on Russian rockets, they are scheduled to fly aboard SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket by 2010. Rutan’s vehicles are likely to be powered by engines built by SpaceDev or any number of other entrepreneurial companies that have, like Bigelow, proved their ideas with working hardware rather than slide shows.
It’s all a far cry from the first serious private rocket effort. Hudson’s Percheron rocket exploded on its Texas launch pad in August 1981, and there was never a Percheron 2. Hudson and his investors had barely found the money to build the first rocket and, critically, they had no customer base from which to draw further funding.
Compare Percheron’s story with that of SpaceX’s Falcon rocket, which despite years of development and two test flights has yet to fly in space. Both Falcon launches suffered that stopped them short of orbit, yet Musk declared the second flight a success. He has also continued to develop more powerful rockets such as the Falcon 9, which will be able to lift a human crew into orbit. Much of this confidence flows from Musk’s deep pockets. Just as important, however, is that SpaceX has customers waiting in line with money in hand.
The frenetic pace of the alt.space revolution creates concerns that there may not be sufficient demand in the medium to long term to justify such investment. Can pioneers like Rutan and the all-star teams assembled by the likes of Bezos and Musk break through the technology and cost barriers that have stumped NASA for decades and turn that all-important profit?
Rutan seems to think so. His secured several patents and won the admiration of aerospace engineers worldwide. He is proud of the choices he made with the vehicle’s design. “Our difference,” he says, “is that we committed to develop a commercial system that will fly large numbers of the public out of the atmosphere.” It’s that kind of attitude, as much as Rutan’s formidable design record, that helped him secure development funding from Allen and, later, Branson’s operational investment.
Surprisingly, perhaps, one of the biggest alt.space customers is NASA, long seen as the nemesis of the sector (see “Banking on the small guys”). Last year the agency awarded nearly $500 million to SpaceX and Rocketplane Kistler to develop and demonstrate “test vehicles” that could take cargo and crew to the International Space Station (ISS). If these prototypes perform, NASA has pledged to buy operational versions.
Despite the apparent change of heart, many alt.space players are suspicious. “It’s largely window dressing,” says Hudson. He and other sceptics point out that NASA has paid Lockheed Martin almost $4 billion, eight times as much, to develop the Orion capsule, which is essentially a competitor to SpaceX’s Dragon capsule and Rocketplane Kistler’s K-1 crew-and-cargo vehicle.
Other entrepreneurs suggest it would be imprudent for NASA to put all of its eggs in the private basket so early. “The ISS gives the NewSpace industry the opportunity to prove it can operate profitably in place of a government service,” says Chirinjeev Kathuria, chairman of space-tourism company PlanetSpace in Chicago. “It is doing more than any other programme to support and encourage the NewSpace industry.”
Most space entrepreneurs are wary of NASA’s enormous coffers, however. Insider blogs and a variety of industry reports are highlighting the high costs NASA faces as it develops Orion and the Ares rockets, which together are to replace the space shuttle. The capsule’s small crew capacity means it could cost more to send each human into orbit using Orion and Ares than it did with the shuttle, says Rutan. He remains convinced that the entrepreneurial sector will do better.
“Since private teams spend their resources more efficiently, we might be within eight years of the point where there is more value from private research versus NASA research,” says Rutan. Watch this space.
The astropreneurs
Commercial space companies are starting to chalk up the successes
Company: /THE SPACESHIP COMPANY
Location: New Mexico and California
Founded: 2004 and 2005
Through The Spaceship Company, Burt Rutan is building the successor to his X-prizewinning SpaceShipOne. Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic will fly a fleet of SpaceShipTwos from Spaceport America, now under construction in New Mexico. Flights priced at roughly $200,000 could begin at the end of 2009 – and the first 100 seats are already spoken for. Even before an accident that killed three and injured three more at the company’s base in the Mojave desert in July, however, both Rutan and Branson were keeping quiet about when SpaceShipTwo will be unveiled.
Key markets: space tourism; sub-orbital and orbital vehicle design and construction
Company:
Location: Chicago
Founded: 2005
This Canadian-American venture was spurred into life by the X prize. It brings together rocket technology developed by Geoff Sheerin’s company Canadian Arrow and the business expertise of Chirinjeev Kathuria of space-tourism company MirCorp. PlanetSpace has early agreements to build spaceports near Chicago and Cape Breton in eastern Canada. The company’s in-development orbital spaceplane, Silver Dart, is based on NASA technology.
Key markets: space tourism; point-to-point Earth transport
Company:
Location: Texas
Founded: 2000
Bankrolled by video-game entrepreneur Jeff Carmack, Armadillo made a splash in 2004 when its computer-controlled vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) prototype became only the third such vehicle in history to take off and land successfully. Things haven’t been so smooth of late, however: its lunar-lander prototype crashed spectacularly last year.
Key markets: space tourism; human and robotic exploration support
Company:
Location: Oklahoma
Founded: 2006
The merger of Rocketplane and Kistler Aerospace combined two talented engineering teams and one well-advanced new vehicle: Kistler’s K-1 had already attracted about $600 million in private investment. In August 2006 the new company won a $207 million contract from NASA to demonstrate vehicles capable of carrying cargo and crew to the International Space Station. The first K-1 flight is expected in early 2008.
Key markets: space station servicing; satellite deployment; human and robotic exploration support
Company: (T/SPACE)
Location: Virginia
Founded: 2004
What t/Space lacks in launch-ready hardware, it makes up for in political and marketing savvy. In 2001, company co-founder David Gump arranged one of the first commercial activities in space, a Radio Shack TV ad shot aboard the International Space Station. The company is a strong contender for future commercial deals with NASA.
Key markets: human and robotic exploration support
Company:
Location: California
Founded: 2002
The company founded and bankrolled by PayPal entrepreneur Elon Musk wowed the space industry by grabbing several launch contracts before its Falcon 1 rocket was even off the drawing board. The ride has been a little bumpier since then: in March 2006 the first Falcon 1 crashed into the Pacific Ocean less than a minute after launch, and the second attempt, launched in March, failed on the edge of orbit. Despite such setbacks, the company’s calm, measured approach to the space business continues to pay off: SpaceX won a NASA contract worth $278 million last year.
Key markets: satellite deployment; space station servicing; human and robotic exploration support
Company:
Location: Nevada
Founded: 1999
The only alt.space firm with a vehicle actually in space, hotel magnate Robert Bigelow’s company launched its second dummy inflatable space station, Genesis 2, in June this year. Bigelow says he will spend up to $500 million of his own money on the company. He also funds America’s Space Prize, which offers $50 million to the first US-based company to demonstrate a new reusable spacecraft capable of orbiting the planet with a crew of five and docking with one of Bigelow’s space stations. The prize has a January 2010 deadline.
Key markets: space tourism; commercial research in space; space station servicing; human exploration support
Company: BLUE ORIGIN
Location: Texas
Founded: 2000
Relatively little is known about this space venture, led by founder Jeff Bezos. The company’s bell-shaped prototype, Goddard, made a successful short test flight in November 2006 at Blue Origin’s private spaceport in Texas. Goddard is a VTOL craft and is part of the company’s New Shepard programme, which aims to take humans into sub-orbital space.
Key market: Space tourism
Company:
Location: California
Founded: 1997 and 2006
Computer entrepreneur Jim Benson’s company was an early alt.space success, building a series of small satellites for industry and academia. SpaceDev is the only alt.space company to be publicly traded. It shot to fame when it provided the hybrid rocket motors for Burt Rutan’s SpaceShipOne, although Benson and Rutan later publicly disagreed about the extent of SpaceDev’s contribution. Last year Benson created Benson Space Company to further develop and market SpaceDev’s Dream Chaser sub-orbital tourism vehicle.
Key markets: space tourism; satellite design and deployment; rocket motor development; human and robotic exploration support
Company:
Location: California
Founded: 1999
A few doors down from Burt Rutan’s operation in the Mojave desert sits XCOR. The company has used light aircraft designed by Rutan to test low-cost, high-performance liquid oxygen/kerosene rocket engines. XCOR’s EZ-Rocket, occasionally flown by Rutan’s brother, Dick, has flown at numerous air shows and its Xerus sub-orbital vehicle is in development.
Key markets: rocket motor and sub-orbital spacecraft design
Company:
Location: Cheshire, UK
Founded: 1992
Starchaser is one of the few alt.space companies operating outside the US. In 1996 the company launched its 6-metre-high Starchaser 2 rocket, the largest private civilian rocket to be built and flown in Europe. During the Ansari X prize competition in 2004, Starchaser built and tested a prototype space capsule that could eventually carry astronauts.
Key market:space tourism
Banking on the small guys
Space entrepreneur Burt Rutan is as famous for NASA-baiting as for spaceplane designs. Frequently he refers to the space agency as “nay-say” in reference to its refusal to embrace the alt.space industry.
But these days NASA is thawing. It has awarded dozens of study contracts to a variety of companies, many worth tens of millions of dollars. And in 2005 the agency launched a series of “centennial challenges”. These offer cash prizes for advances in technologies such as lunar landers and space elevators (91av, 31 August 2006, p 36). This May saw the first winner: Peter Homer of Southwest Harbor, Maine, took home $200,000 for designing a better spacesuit glove than NASA’s engineers.
Such enthusiasm has infected others too. The European Space Agency has started putting money into Europe’s small but growing alt.space sector. One of its key companies, EADS Astrium – which already builds ESA’s Ariane rockets – recently unveiled a design for a tourist-friendly .